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Top Foresight Articles and Databases
Science, Evolution, and Development
Technology (Engineering, Infotech, Sociotech, Cognotech, Biomedtech)
Environment, Energy, and Natural Resources
Economics, Capitalism, Finance, Globalization, and Innovation Infrastructure
Politics, Security, Democracy, Rights, Health Care, and Sustainability Infrastructure
Culture: Society, Ethics, Media, Art, Design, Education, Religion
Organizations: Org. Leadership, Mgmt, Innovation, Entrep, Sustain & Development
Personal: Family, Relationships, Careers, and Lifestyle
Fiction: Realistic Future Fiction
Top Foresight Articles - Sites, Lists, and Selections
Essential Principles of Career Development. 2008. In: Economics: A World of Opportunity, Larry Smith.
Tips: Have passion for your work. Clearly visualize your future self ahead as far as you can. Try 50 years!
Strategic Foresight: Use & Misuse of Scenario Building (PDF), Michel Godet et.al., 2010.
Publication of LIPSOR and the CNAM Foresight MS/PhD Program.
Science, Evolution, and Development Articles - Sites, Lists, and Selections
Extreme Scale Computing (and Predictive Science and Modeling), Blog of Irving Wladawky-Berger, 15 Feb 2010.
Excellent article on the design challenges and imminent arrival of exascale computing in the next half-decade. Our supercomputers are moving to millions of parallel processing activities, a parallelism that begins to approach the human brain, in fact. Wladawsky-Berger argues that all this new parallelism, connected to the cloud, may put us at the tipping point of the emergence of far more effective predictive science and modeling. When we gain the ability to run parallel applications of the same problem with many different combinations of parameters, we test ensembles of solutions, comprising whole landscapes, and can find globally optimal solutions better than ever before. Will we see new clarity of prediction and foresight, including new understanding of processes of universal evolution and development, emerge from this new computational capacity? Answering that question seems like one of the most important challenges we have before us. Fortunately, there are DoD and administration funds to keep the push to exascale computing moving forward, at least in the U.S.
This was an article that my math teacher suggested would be interesting. It actually was, and its only one page long. The headling was "I am Creating Artificial Life" In the article it talks about a guy who has stripped down a becteria cell into near nothing-ness, then used it as a case to create a "synthetic chromosome." It also talks about how this discorvery could very well be the one that can lead to the eventual gene manipulation of humans, somewhat. Additionally how this discovery could lead to the creation of a bacteria that could consume carbon dioxide gas, thus reducing, or eliminating the threat of global warming, and even propane, and other fuel emitting bacteria that would only need sugar to produce such goods. This is definitely something you should read, and like I said, its not that long of an article. (stephen271)
Democritus -- Scientific Wizard Of The 5th Century BC
Speculations in Science and Technology, 21(1), 37-44, 1998. This essay considers how Democritus, in the 5th century BC, without much help from mathematics or technology, could discover that the world was built up from atoms, that the Sun was a common star, that the Milky Way was made up of unresolved stars, that mass and energy are conserved, etc. The answer: scientific reasoning. It is concluded that the empirical/conceptual approach can be a highly effective complement to the theoretical/mathematical approach in science. What if Democritus’ ideas and methods had caught on immediately, instead of being virtually ignored for 2,000 years? [Rarity and value of a culture of scientific inquiry]. - Robert Oldershaw
Bilbliography on Genetic Programming
This is a database of a few thousand genetic programming papers. Genetic programming is an evolutionary programming technique which has been under some scrutiny due to the resources it had required to function, however, the advances in computational technology has allowed for genetic programming to produce novel results. This belongs to the futures section because one of the beautiful things about the artificial life methodology is that it can produce results which we had not previously recognized or perceived as real. Therefore, evolutionary programming has the potential to produce some of our future technologies by adding to the "menu that our brain defines as real." -Chris Schoerning
Technology (Engineering, Infotech, Sociotech, Cognotech, Biomedtech) Articles - Sites, Lists, and Selections
Pew Internet Project, Future of Apps and the Web, 2012 (27 pages)
Survey of technology futurists and strategists on the way apps and the open web will interact on mobile and other platforms over the next ten years.
The Long Nose of Innovation. Bill Buxton, BusinessWeek, 2010.
The bulk of innovation is low-amplitude and takes place over a long period.
Therefore, companies should focus on refining existing technologies as much as on creating new ones.
"Think of the mouse. First built in around 1965 by Bill English and Doug Engelbart, by 1968 it was copied (with the originators' cooperation) for use in a music and animation system at the National Research Council of Canada. Around 1973, Xerox PARC adopted a version as the graphical input device for the Alto computer. In 1980, 3 Rivers Systems of Pittsburgh released their PERQ-1 workstation, which I believe to be the first commercially available computer that used a mouse. A year later came the Xerox Star 8010 workstation, and in January, 1984, the first Macintosh—the latter being the computer that brought the mouse to the attention of the general public. However it was not until 1995, with the release of Windows 95, that the mouse became ubiquitous.
On the surface it might appear that the benefits of the mouse were obvious—and therefore it's surprising it took 30 years to go from first demonstration to mainstream. But this 30-year gestation period turns out to be more typical than surprising. In 2003 my office mate at Microsoft (MSFT<http://investing.businessweek.com/research/stocks/snapshot/snapshot.asp?symbol=MSFT>), Butler Lampson, presented a report to the Computer Science and Telecommunications Board of the National Research Council in Washington which traced the history of a number of key technologies driving the telecommunications and information technology sectors. The report analyzed each technology (time-sharing, client/server computing, LANs, relational databases, VLSI design, etc.) from first inception to the point where it turned into a billion dollar industry. What was consistent among virtually all the results was how long each took to move from inception to ubiquity. Twenty years of jumping around from university labs to corporate labs to products was typical. And 30 years, as with the mouse and RISC processors, was not at all unusual (and remember, this is the "fast-paced world of computers," where it is "almost impossible" to keep up).
Any technology that is going to have significant impact over the next 10 years is already at least 10 years old. That doesn't imply that the 10-year-old technologies we might draw from are mature or that we understand their implications; rather, just the basic concept is known, or knowable to those who care to look."
Is Technology Ruining Children?, J. Cornwell, Apr 2008.
Excellent article reporting neuroscientist Susan Greenfield's perspective that today's virtual technologies are taking away youth's abilities to think abstractly, to imagine, and to develop personal initiative, curiosity, and moral awareness. See also Ronald T. Floyd's article, Are We Losing the Ability to Think Abstractly? in Journal of Advancing Technology, Summer 2008. A call to awareness of the many ways our culture is being degraded by "first generation" uses of the incredibly compelling virtual environments in which we are all increasingly embedded.
Robots Vs Pirates Apparently, piracy (real piracy, not the BitTorrented variety) is all the rage off the coast of Somalia. The pirates that hijack ships and hold them and their equipment for ransom, sometimes killing crewmembers in the process. It isn't pretty. But the US Navy and Coast Guard have a trick up their sleeves: robotic boats. The 30 foot boat names Protector is fullyautonomous and comes with a huge mounted machine gun, go Navy - MustanshioMcHatman
Philips creates windows that make their own shade - An ordinary window to dull for you? Well with Philips new Daylight Concept "Active Glass," It allows you to interact with the window simply by waving your hand. Whether your creating plant life to block out the sun, or change the "tint" color. it is something that shows the potential for very interesting window shopping - MustashioMcHatman
Scientists Develop Artery Scurrying Micro Robot - The boffins at Chonnam National University have created a microscopic robot to be used in medical procedures to clear blocked arteries, the sugars in the patient's blood provide an alternative energy source. -MustashioMcHatman
Windbelt - Third World Power Generator. After being inspired by watching Washington's Tacoma Narrows Bridge (Galloping Gertlie) collasp due to high winds. ShawnFrayne believes that he has found a cheaper, more effiecient solution for wind power generators.-MustashioMcHatman
Solar Impulse - From Swiss Inventors, This Solar powered plane hopes to fly around the world, even at 40 mph, in 4 weeks. With a wing span of a Airbus. Its biggest challenge is storing energy to use at night. -MustanshioMcHatman
SILVIA - SILVIA is a complete system for the development and deployment of intelligent applications to almost any computing platform or operating system, with a technological core that allows humans to interact with computers in completely natural and intuitive ways. "You can actually carry on a conversation with Silvia...it is truly amazing. The responses from Silivia are intelligent and contextual, not just one or two words, but complete sentences. Could be used for call centers, smart phones, voice search, or many other voice related applications...the demo is mind blowing. You would have to see it to believe it...Cognitive Code is way beyond anything I have seen before. Amazing."
The Hard Science of Making Video Games, Ward et. al., Popular Science, Sept 2007
Discusses the "top ten" tech hurdles to making the next generation of highly realistic, immersive games, and how they'll soon be overcome.
Champion Robot Car Declared In the 1880s, the carriage lost its horse. Now, thanks to a car named Boss, the automobile could be about to lose its driver. The grounds of the former George Air Force Base in Victorville, CA, served as a mock city that the robots had to navigate. The course consisted of 60 miles of roads and parking lots and took about six hours to complete. The whole time, the robotic cars needed to obey traffic laws and avoid both cars driven by professional stunt drivers and the other robots on the course. - MustanshioMcHatman
Law of Accelerating Returns
Ray Kurzweil's Essay on technology as an exponential trend. This seminal essay paved the way for much of Kurzweil's Best Selling book, The Singularity is Near.
Limits to Biology (Performance Limitations on Natural and Engineered Biological Systems)
John Smart's essay describing the difficulties of biology-based radical life-extension.
True Chameleon Paint
Nissan hopes to create a paint that changes colors by adding a small electrical charge to its paramagnetic iron oxide paint polymer. - MustanshioMcHatman
World's Smallest Radio - Made of carbon nanotubes a few atoms across, it is almost 1,000 times smaller than current radio technology,"it is conceivable in the future that all components could be nanoscale, thus allowing a truly nanoscale wireless communications system." Professor Peter Burke -MustashioMcHatman
Bootstrapping our way to an ageless future
An excerpt from Aubrey De Grey's book "Ending Aging", published on kurzweilai.net. He discusses some of the technical challenges facing radical life extension as well as the
the monetary issues surrounding support for longevity research.
Robots showing emotion soon?
Powered by servos and microcontrollers, this will allow robotic faces to morph and change more then a normal human. While robots are still a ways away from being like us with A.I. or dynamic ability to move, they would be able to look and express emotion soon enough.-MustashioMcHatman
Unlitimited Power with in our grasp?
The Tokyo Institute of Technology claims that they have found a way to harness unlimited power from a practically-unlimited resource, Magnesium -MustashioMcHatman
This page is about Jaron Lanier, one of my favorite furturists. It gives some insights into why he is considered one of the top futurist in the world. He coined the term virtual Reality and He founded one of the first companies that sold VR gear to the public. - Levar H
This is also another interesting technological advance worthy of being "futuristic" (man I love that word). In this article it presents something that was show off at the SIGGRAPH 2007 and it being a full 360 degree hologram I would definetly say this is something of great interest (its so cool and they also have a video!) - Disgaeafreak
NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS). http://ntrs.nasa.gov
NTRS is a large database of information that you can freely search through although some of the reports might require further searching on your own or purchasing them. You can find reports on the space station, developmental research, antimatter, and much more. - Chris Schoerning
http://architecture.mit.edu/house_n/web/resources/articles/community/ClickZ%20Network%20THE%20ONLINE%20MARKETPLACE,%20A%20Look%20Ahead,%20by%20Michael%20Fischler.htm The future that the internet may adapt us too. In this article the guy goes into explaining how the internet and computer may be used to run your entire house one day. I think this is cool because this is probally where the future is headed and it may or may not be right on the money but it is probally close. - Michael Stringfellow
A article/paper on technology by Nick Bostrom. It goes into detail with the topic and is quite a long read. - W. Alex Plageman AKA warpped655
Cellphones become so advance they replace your dog - In a Finnish school sponsored by Nokia, the children work up a project with the upcoming N800 cellphone and create a little pet out of it. -MustashioMcHatman
A article on the ethics of future AI. It is a very interesting read on the effect of having AI with near-human like abilities. - W. Alex Plageman AKA warpped655
Interesting article by science fiction author Vernor Vinge that explores the possibility of if the Technological Singularity (where we become or create beings that surpass current human intelligence) were to not happen. It's important to keep an open mind when dealing with the future; while something can be very probable, the probable frequently does not happen. [Trenton Kennedy aka Trentish]
http://www.openthefuture.com/2007/09/singularity_summit_talk_openne.html Presentation/Article by Jamais Cascio.
Talks about how the singularity is an important issue that will affect everyone and how we need an open and transparent process and discussion. Brings up some interesting issues such as: how ethical is it to change the world without consulting it first? [Trenton Kennedy aka Trentish]
This is a car that can drive itself! its good and futuristic because who doesn't dream of a car that you dont have to do drive? - Kino
This isabout robot's effects on older people. It is interesting because it shows how the passing of time affects different age groups differently. - Kino
Article about home robot vaccums. I like this because its another one of those "small steps into the future." - Kino
The forge is halo 3’s new map editor. This is just the future of gaming by far.
The beautiful white engine is coming to 360. A big competitor is coming to the American market for engine buying.
Cognitive scientist Donald A. Norman argues that future machines will need emotions to be truly dependable.
This article gives a look at cars in the near future. http://www.motortrend.com/future/
This article has some intersting info on the future of robots and the oportunities they open up.
Genetically Engineered Super Mice!
Yesterday, a bunch of scientists at Case Western Reserve University in Cleveland, Ohio, USA announced that they had successfully engineered a group of 500 genetically enhanced super mice that are super healthy, extremely aggressive, hyper active, higher in metabolism, have much longer lifespan compared to normal wild mice, can run pretty much non stop for 6 hours and can eat twice more than normal wild mice but only have half the weight. They say that human engineer is by far out of the question. Even with all the great powers the mice have, they obtained a few other abilities like altered behaviors and mental illnesses. - MustanshioMcHatman
NASA's "All-Terrain Hex-Limbed Extra-Terrestrial Explorer," was designed for lunar cargo hauling. Its 8 limbs allow it to not only travel on diverse terrains, but can also "walk" is soft sands. Attachments like drills and claws can be added to wheel base for extra work, and cameras are every where for the best view possible at every angle. - MustanshioMcHatman
Here's a look at some robots being developped by the military. http://gizmodo.com/gadgets/danger,-will-robinson/armys-autonomous-fighting-bots-bound-to-roll-all-over-you-256682.php
High-speed USB will also be here soon. http://www.usb.org/developers/docs/hs_usb_pdg_r1_0.pdf
Computerized antiaircraft gun suffers error, opens fire, kills 9, wounds 14 South African soldiers. - Pajamas
Cheap new portable motion capture tech
An amazingly cheap and accurate way to do motion capture with less obtrusive sensors. Portable, could be a new componenet of gaming or digital avatars. - Tom Andrys
A great step foreward in capturing information that goes through us, a small digital camera worn around the neck that takes pictures throughout the day then compiles them into a short video may help alzheimers patients. A perfect example of a real need driving a technology that will have much larger impact later on. - Tom Andrys
Environment, Energy, and Natural Resources Articles - Sites, Lists, and Selections
We're only living in a 0.7 Civilisation, of course we can't Harness the Galaxy for power
Michio Kaku, professor of theoretical physics at City University of New York, has released an article stating that one day we maybe able to use the vary Galaxy we live in to harness power for ourselves. Stating that there is "3 Types of Civilizations." "Global pollution is a mortal threat for a Type 0 civilization, but not a Type I civilization, which has lived for several millennia as a global force and necessarily achieved ecological balance with its home planet. A type II civ would harness the energy of a star such as our sun, perhaps by building a huge sphere around it. A type III would harness the power of entire galaxies, controlling the life and death of stars at will." Very interesting read - MustanshioMcHatman
Career Education for a Global Economy, Sandra Kerka, ERIC Digest, 1993
A good basic article on education for a globalizing world. Needs an update.
Ships bring water to parched Barcelona - Tom Andrys
Inflatable Solar Arrays Cost 25X Cheaper then standard Panels
nflatatable solar? Cool Earth Solar has created a new technology that uses traditional photovoltaics and a new inflatable concentrator. We've seen plenty of mirror concentrators before, but this one is unique because it uses inflatable mirrors that are 400 times cheaper than polished aluminum mirrors. Though it has its draw backs, they hope to make it cheaper then non-renewable sources within three years! -MustanshioMcHatman
http://www.nickbostrom.com/existential/risks.html - A good article on less positive possibilities by Nick Bostrom. It it goes in depth on a topic of possible catastrophes and natural disasters. - W. Alex Plageman AKA warpped655
http://www.nickbostrom.com/astronomical/waste.html - An article on Astronomical Waste by Nick Bostrom. It is a topic that isn't commonly talked about, so its good to get something on it. - W. Alex Plageman AKA warpped655
Genetic engineers have made a leap in developing a strain of algae with the potential to supply fuel for a future hydrogen economy
Salt water as fuel, this could change things on the energy front.
The Death of Environmentalism
Persuasive essay describing the failures of the environmental community the last 30 years
and their inability to deal with the global warming crisis effectively.
Spinning into control
A Science News Weekly article on using flywheels to store enegy, including on locomotives. -Pajamas
Superfast Lasers used to kill viruses
Researchers are using this ultrashort-pulse laser to destroy the protein shell of viruses. They say the laser frequency will not harm human cells. If their research works, this could be applied to cure uncurable diseases like HIV and Cancers. - MustanshioMcHatman
A new concept of wind power that involves using natural land forms to channel wind into more intense areas for harvest. - Tom Andrys
A web-based application to visually compare global trends. Link to TED Talk on it- Tom Andrys
Economics, Capitalism, Finance, Globalization, and Innovation Infrastructure Articles - Sites, Lists, and Selections
The End (of Wall Street's Boom), Michael Lewis, Portfolio.com, Dec 2008 ****
Nine pages, required reading. For more background, see also this short piece by financial journalist Tim Penn.
Fantastic expose of the 1985-2008 Wall Street insanity period, beginning with taking the investment banks public, starting with Solomon Brothers, and shifting all that risk to stockholders, and ending with the subprime mortgage and CDO Ponzi scheme and the 2008 collapse of the housing bubble, major public investment banks, and the market. Also tells the story of how great financial forecasters, like Steve Eisman and his gang of short sellers at FrontPoint partners, can clearly see the end of a major era of governmental and economic mismanagement, in this case the long looming US financial meltdown, can accurately predict and make money off it, yet won't be taken seriously except by the insiders. A little honesty goes a long way at the right time however, as we see in those analysts who foresaw the Great Depression (Ludwig von Mises, Jesse Livermore) and whose blunt statements actually contributed to the US stock market crashes of 1929 (Roger Babson) and 1987 (Meredith Whitney). If we actually made it easier for all of us to be short sellers, instead of scapegoating these individuals, as has been the recent misguided trend, we'd have an economic system where true foresight would be rewarded for all players. Let's hope that happens eventually, in our leading markets. Lewis's article is a perfect example of how public companies, while they are necessary and important, are by their very structure the most short-sighted and growth-at-all-costs oriented. Fortunately there are solutions available, and the best economies use them. Private business, not public, makes most (at least 70%) of our economy run, and generates the most jobs. The most foresighted governments dethrone Wall Street by democratizing the individual investor's ability to give loans to directly to private businesses, both individually and via pooled investments. I'm speaking now of the bond market, which is much larger than the equity market, and which keeps all equity markets honest. Good government policy can structure incentives such that most of the average citizen's investments are in bonds, mostly with private and small to mid-sized firms, where most of the innovation will always reside in any economy, and good tax policy should penalize those investors who have most of their asset in speculative and short sighted equities. We also need new classes of public and private equity markets that are structured to favor long term, less liquid investment horizons. Finally and most importantly, we need governance that measures, grows, and rewards technical productivity (TP), which is far more important as an indicator of economic strength than GDP growth. While most people (social responsibility investors excepted) will always be out for the greatest financial return, governments can always be out for the greatest technical capacity return (science, tech, engineering, automation) from their investments. Countries like Singapore and Japan and China already do this surprisingly well. As govt is the largest segment of the financial system, it can have the greatest effect on moving the economy to a post-GDP-centric world. Let's measure TP everywhere, difficult though it be, and invest our public resources for TP growth. Unlike money, which is jut a proxy for value, an abstract and fiat measure, TP is the most real physical value we can build, as a species, within an economic-social-political system. It is our greatest survival variable and asset, and the countries that realize this, and stay true to it, will be the scientific, economic, and moral leaders of the future. - John Smart
Pay for things using your fingerprint!
Within the walls of Ten Chicago Shell Stations, they are testing a new method of paying for things, by simply place your finger on the biometric scanner, the money is deducted straight from your account. Just like a credit card but with out the fear of losing it or Identity Theft. Unless someone takes off your finger. Imagine calling Visa for that one - MustanshioMcHatman
Politics, Security, Democracy, Rights, Health Care, and Sustainability Infrastructure Articles - Sites, Lists, and Selections
Richard Clarke on Who Was Behind the Stuxnet Attack, Ron Rosenbaum, Smithsonian, 2012
Brief overview of a former national security advisor's views on the "Frankenstein" that the U.S. intelligence agency may have unleashed with Stuxnet, the CIA-built worm that attacked Iranian ultracentrifuges in 2010.
This CNN article is about the shooting at Delaware State University. What is futuristic about it? Everyone this day is not a boy; people need to invest into putting money in their campus security.
Pistol cams- N.Y. police to begin testing pistols with attached cameras that begin rolling as soon as they're taken out of the holster.
New British Helmet Renders Plane Invisible, Frightens Kids
This Helmet Mounted Display System provides the pilot with cues for flying, navigating and fighting the aircraft. It will even superimpose infra-red imagery onto the visor which allows the pilot to ‘look through’ the cockpit floor at night and see the world below. -MustanshioMcHatman
Culture: Society, Ethics, Media, Art, Design, Education, Religion Articles - Sites, Lists, and Selections
Global Media, Law, and Ethics Course (MSTD400), Bill Kovariks, Radford University, 2003-5
Great source of trends and issues on media, law, and ethics.
Earthquake Sets Japan Back to 2147, The Onion, 23 July 2007
Hilarious piece about how a recent earthquake set Japan back technologically about 300 years. To 2147. Classic Onion!
Hong Kong to elect its own leader and legislators by 2020 BBC Dec 29 2007
Will megacities begin to move towards independence from the countries they're in? - Tom Andrys
Organizations: Org. Leadership, Mgmt, Innovation, Entrep, Sustain & Development Articles - Sites, Lists, and Selections
http://architecture.mit.edu/house_n/web/resources/articles/lifeinthefuture/FORTUNE_com%203_6_2000%20The%20Capitalist%20Century%20Office%20Fantasies%20of%20the%20Future.htm This is what the top businesses of today think the future of buisness offices will be like. I personally don't think it is right on the money but I think it brings some valuable information to the argument. - Michael Stringfellow
Coca Cola is developing a new soda that will make itself cold upon opening it. As we can see from this example, it is important to keep in mind that scientific breakthrough is frequently pursued for financial gain, not just discovery. - Trenton Kennedy aka Trentish]
No longer working in a cubicle..but a sphericle?
Designer Marcus Curran created this new workspace, the Eclipse partition system. The central idea behind this contraption is versatility. Its retractable hood allows for various levels of privacy and access to accommodate to the changing work flow of one's daily job. The hood also changes colors and graphics among having many other little things amenities to make you feel more comfortable in your workspace. - MustanshioMcHatman
Personal: Family, Relationships, Careers, and Lifestyle Articles - Sites, Lists, and Selections
This article goes into what the future may proceed with in or future homes and lifes. It is a cool article because it shows just how far the technology of today may be taken in the future and what it's limitations may or may not be. - Michael Stringfellow
http://www.technologyreview.com/Infotech/19344/?a=f Article by Kate Greene which talks about Adobe Systems who is developing software that would allow mainstream computer users to create high quality graphics and animations. It’s interesting to think about what the average person will be capable of creating in the future. [Trenton Kennedy aka Trentish]
Audio Spotlight- a new approach to marketing; narrow beams of sound are directed at people similarly to the LRAD Long Range Acoustic Device to convey inescapable advertising audio. -Tom Andrys
Fiction: Realistic Future Fiction Articles - Sites, Lists, and Selections
[In realistic future fiction (RFF) the substantial majority of the plot feels like it actually could happen in the future, under the right circumstances. Most fantasy and science fiction is entertaining, but not realistic foresight, except in minor parts.]
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