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Hejazi |
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6 Simple Steps to Understand Uncertainty
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Foresight Methods
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Jul 15 2010, 2:53 AM EDT by
Hejazi |
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Thread started: Jul 8 2010, 12:10 PM EDT
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Understanding the concept of uncertainty and its natural implications is one of the main pillars of futurist thought. In fact, without understanding uncertainty every effort in thinking about the future will end in vain. Up to now numerous articles and books have been written on uncertainty and its different aspects. Sometimes, reading these works leads to more complication of the issue for readers (especially novices) in capturing main points and ideas that are necessary for understanding uncertainty. Through following 6 simple steps you will got the main topics in this regard.
Read more at: http://www.futuresdiscovery.com/Futures%20Studies/6SimpleSteps.htm
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RE: 6 Simple Steps to Understand Uncertainty
By: Hejazi,
Jul 15 2010, 2:53 AM EDT
Dear Mark,
Thanks for your nice comment. I'm so happy that I could raise new thoughts in your mind concerning the Uncertainty. The amazing story of Uncertainty goes on even to last moment of our life.
Best wishes, Alireza
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14 Tips for Becoming an Active Futurist
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Home
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Jul 7 2010, 11:59 AM EDT by
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Thread started: Jul 1 2010, 5:15 AM EDT
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Surely an informal opportunity for scientific cooperation with other futurists specially the open minded ones would be more valuable than attending a formal study program. My experience has shown me that this kind of friendship is more fruitful, because everyday you can learn new ideas from those professionals who think creatively about the future. This can be a good way for becoming a futurist.
Here are tips and my personal suggestions to become a futurist.
Read the ful article at: http://www.futuresdiscovery.com/Futures%20Studies/14%20Tips%20for%20Becoming%20an%20Active%20Futurist.htm
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RE: 14 Tips for Becoming an Active Futurist
By: ,
Jul 7 2010, 11:59 AM EDT
Thanks Hejazi. Great stuff! With your permission, I've re-posted this as the current feature at The Future Lounge here: http://thefuturelounge.com/2010/07/14-tips-for-becoming-an-active-futurist/
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7 Dreams of a Futurist
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Bulletin Board
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Jul 6 2010, 2:15 AM EDT by
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Thread started: Jul 6 2010, 2:15 AM EDT
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People live with their dreams. Dreaming (not day-dreaming) builds our visions for future. In fact, we will confront with the future through our dreams. One of the greatest arts of human beings is realizing their own dreams. The dream of flight, the dream of walking in the bottom of an ocean, the dream of watching inside of an ant's head and many other dreams have brought us to the point that we are standing on now.
From a very past time I had intended publish my personal dreams, dreams that may be common among a number of futurists who are living in developing countries and are eager to bring their countries at the edge of scientific and technological progress. I really don't know how many of these dreams may come true, but I'm working with all my strength to realize them as far as I can.
Please take a look at these dreams. You may find some of them as yours. If it is so, then share your comments with me and let's realize them through joint cooperation. I'm not confident about the realization of these dreams, but I'm sure with the possibility of our cooperation if we decide to do so.
Read more at: http://www.futuresdiscovery.com/Futures%20Studies/7Dreams.htm
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ATLAS of futures links goes online!
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Wikis
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Jul 6 2010, 2:12 AM EDT by
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Thread started: Jul 6 2010, 2:12 AM EDT
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Click on: http://www.futuresdiscovery.com/ATLAS/Index.htm
This is the second and revised edition of ATLAS of futures links (2010). The first edition was published earlier as a free e-book available at: http://www.futuresdiscovery.com/newsletter/ATLAS.zip
ATLAS of futures links is the most comprehensive directory of futures URLs ever designed & compiled by Alireza Hejazi, an Iranian futurist to help everyone who is interested in futures studies find his / her desired destinations on the Internet immediately and easily. It is being optimized and up-to-dated by adding more links every month.
A wealth of links are collected and categorized in STEEP mode alphabetically. Up to now 636 links (URLs) are classified as:
- Academic & Online Courses
- Articles, Blogs, Books, Downloads, Maps, Resources & Softwares
- Economic Futures
- Environmental Futures
- Futurists
- Journals
- Political Futures
- Sociological Futures
- Technological Futures
- Think Tanks & Organizations
"Change" is the nature of WWW addresses, so some of these links may be changed or inactive at the moment of your click. You can report the author changed or corrupted ones to be removed or revised in next editions. If you are a futurist or a member of a futurist think thank whose URL is not mentioned in this ATLAS, please feel free to contact the author and give him your (new) website address. You can also send him the links of your published books on futures studies and other related topics.
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Futures Higher Education
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Discussion Forum
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May 20 2010, 1:52 AM EDT by
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Thread started: May 20 2010, 1:52 AM EDT
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How can we empower FS students at universities and colleges with futuristic creativity in their studies and jobs?
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My belief
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Discussion Forum
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Jan 13 2010, 9:37 AM EST by
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Thread started: Jan 13 2010, 9:37 AM EST
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A [http://www.bestessays.com.au term paper] is a research paper written by students over an academic term or semester which accounts for a large amount of a grade and makes up much of the course. Term papers are generally intended to describe an event, a concept, or argue a point. A term paper is a written original work discussing a topic in detail, usually several typed pages in length and is often due at the end of a semester. There is much overlap between the terms "research paper" and "term paper". The phrase "term paper" was originally used to describe a paper (usually a research based paper) that was due at the end of the "term" - either a semester or quarter, depending on which unit of measure a school used. However, the term has fallen out of favor. Common usage has "term paper" and "research paper" as interchangeable, but this is not completely accurate. Not all term papers involve academic research, and not all research papers are term papers.
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The Problem with Linear Projections of the Future
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Discussion Forum
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Sep 29 2009, 12:50 AM EDT by
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Thread started: Sep 29 2009, 12:50 AM EDT
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I would like responses to my essay on this topic. I think it's crucial to Global Forecast participants to think through how futurism is really done, and how it so often fails to capture obvious converging trends.
Check out my essay here: http://www.scribd.com/doc/15249383/The-Problem-with-Linear-Projections-of-the-Future
Thanks
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abmoniz |
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journal "Enterprise and Work Innovation Studies"
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Periodicals - Business
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Jul 8 2009, 10:10 AM EDT by
abmoniz |
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Thread started: Jul 8 2009, 10:10 AM EDT
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If you want it can be included the reference to the above mentioned journal (http://iet.fct.unl.pt/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=28&Itemid=51)
Is a peer-reviewed journal, edited by IET (Portugal) in English language. Article proposals are welcomed. The 5th issue (2009) will be dedicated to "Technology Assessment"
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maverickwoman |
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Finite Time Singularity and world population growth
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Discussion Forum
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May 17 2009, 9:14 PM EDT by
wallyn4bz |
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Thread started: Feb 8 2008, 5:47 AM EST
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I have just found and read this report via one of the links. http://xxx.lanl.gov/pdf/cond-mat/0002075
It left me truly depressed....what a future to have born children into. So...here's a classic human response...DENIAL....quick, find me a more upbeat view?
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RE: "what a future to have born children into."
By: wallyn4bz,
May 17 2009, 9:14 PM EDT
The future is one that we make ourselves. At this time I am making changes in my web site This is taken from "Freedom and the Burden of Responsibility which should be available on http://www.n4bz.org in a matter of days.
:Every human being that does not reach his or her full potential represents a net loss for the universe as a whole. Not just for the human race, but for the entire universe. Remember the motivation for creation of the universe, in Leibniz words, "the greatest variety with the simplest of means," is provided by a system of complex emergence designed to give everything that is possible an opportunity to exist.
Consider the progress man has made in the universe with the creative talent of a miniscule percentage of the available talents that are being put to use. If we could harness the potential of just twice the percentage we are now using, still an insignificant part of the totality of the human race, the advantage to everyone and to the universe as a whole would astound your wildest imagination.
. Social systems are not the creators of wealth, people are. Social, economic, and governmental systems are nothing but the tools that people use to create. Is the carpenter a subject of his saw? Is the pianist a slave to his instrument? Of course not. Then why are people subservient to an economic system?
Social systems are developed by people to accomplish activities they can not do as individuals. If their activities do not reflect the thinking of the citizens then the citizens will feel no responsibility for the effects of the the activities.
We need to develop social institutions that are not tied to political parties, governments, or cultural institutions. When dealing with diverse populations open communications among people with open minds is absolutely essential. Sites on the internet like this one are the beginning
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Page added in error
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Weblogs
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Feb 11 2009, 10:29 AM EST by
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Thread started: Feb 11 2009, 10:29 AM EST
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In trying to add a blog to the list, I mistakenly added a sub-page under Weblogs.
Sorry!
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Game on! Superstruct launching 22 September
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Superstruct: Institute for the Future's new massive multi-player forecasting game
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Jul 21 2008, 8:20 AM EDT by
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Thread started: Jul 21 2008, 8:20 AM EDT
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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
SEPTEMBER 22, 2019
Humans have 23 years to go
Global Extinction Awareness System starts the countdown for Homo sapiens.
PALO ALTO, CA — Based on the results of a year-long supercomputer simulation, the Global Extinction Awareness System (GEAS) has reset the "survival horizon" for Homo sapiens - the human race - from "indefinite" to 23 years.
“The survival horizon identifies the point in time after which a threatened population is expected to experience a catastrophic collapse,” GEAS president Audrey Chen said. “It is the point from which a species is unlikely to recover. By identifying a survival horizon of 2042, GEAS has given human civilization a definite deadline for making substantive changes to planet and practices.”
More,....follow this link: http://www.iftf.org/node/2098
This is a game of survival, and we need you to survive.
Super-threats are massively disrupting global society as we know it. There’s an entire generation of homeless people worldwide, as the number of climate refugees tops 250 million. Entrepreneurial chaos and “the axis of biofuel” wreak havoc in the alternative fuel industry. Carbon quotas plummet as food shortages mount. The existing structures of human civilization—from families and language to corporate society and technological infrastructures—just aren’t enough. We need a new set of superstructures to rise above, to take humans to the next stage.
You can help. Tell us your story. Strategize out loud. Superstruct now.
It's your legacy to the human race.
Shall we play?
Superstruct Now
Get a head start on the game. It’s the summer of 2019. Imagine you’re already there, and tell us a little bit about your future self. Where are you having dinner tonight?
Email your answer to superstruct@iftf.org! or go to http://www.iftf.org/node/2098 and log in to add your comments to the blog there.
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